Oil heads for weekly gains on colder weather, Chinese policy support

Oil prices rose on Friday, closing the week higher on the back of cold weather in Europe and the U.S. as well as additional economic stimulus flagged by China.

Brent crude futures settled 58 cents, or 0.8%, higher at $76.51 a barrel, the highest level since Oct 14. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude settled 83 cents, or 1.13%, to $73.96, the highest level since Oct 11.

Brent notched a 2.4% weekly gain, while WTI climbed nearly 5%.

Signs of Chinese economic fragility heightened expectations of policy measures to boost growth in the world’s top oil importer.

“China just is unceasing at this point in terms of their announcements about trying to stoke economic activity, and the market’s taking note of that,” said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital in New York.

Worries about Chinese demand were a factor in bearish demand assumptions last year, he added. China announced a couple of new measures to boost growth this week with a surprise move to raise wages for government workers and the announcement of a sharp increase in funding from ultra-long treasury bonds. The additional funding is to be used to spur business investment and consumer-boosting initiatives.

Oil is likely to have gained some price support from expected increased demand for heating oil after forecasts for colder weather in some regions.

“Oil demand is likely benefiting from cold temperatures across Europe and the U.S.,” said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Also supporting prices, U.S. oil rig count, an indicator of future output, fell one to 482 this week, according to energy services firm Baker Hughes.

U.S. crude stockpiles dropped by 1.2 million barrels to 415.6 million barrels last week, EIA data showed.

Meanwhile U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories jumped as refineries ramped up output, though fuel demand hit a two-year low.

Holding back prices however, the dollar was on track for its best week in about two months, even as it dipped on Friday, on expectations that the U.S. economy will continue to outperform its peers globally this year and that U.S. interest rates will stay relatively higher.

Higher borrowing costs can cut economic growth and demand for oil.

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