Technical Analysis

It’s increasingly evident that the market is taking the weaker labour market data as good news for inflation and the soft-landing scenario. In fact, last week we got many big misses heading into the NFP report, but the US Jobless Claims showed that the labour market is still fine and the NFP beat expectations. We

This first half of the week was highlighted by big misses in the US economic data like Job Openings, Consumer Confidence and ADP. These might be the first signs that a recession is indeed on the horizon as the labour market is starting to show weakness. In fact, the market is no longer seeing the

The price of WTI crude oil futures are settling at $79.83. That’s up $0.78 or 0.99%. For the week, the price-1.03% or $-0.87 (at current levels). It is the 2nd consecutive week to the downside after last week’s decline of -3.04%. Crude oil Looking at the chart above, at the lows this week, the price

The USD is continuing its move to the downside in the NY session after the weaker than expected flash PMI data. The greenback is now weaker versus all the major currencies with the exception of the GBP, after trading at higher levels after both EU and UK PMI data also was weaker. It seemed all

Crude oil sets the support and resistance going into next wk A week or so ago, the price of crude oil moved above a key swing ceiling between $82.43 and $83.44 (see yellow area and read numbered circles on the chart above). The price moved above that ceiling on Wednesday of last week, closing at

USDJPY trades near unchanged The USDJPY traded lower in the US session (see 4-hour chart above), but did find support near the high of a swing area between 144.898 and 145.07. The low price for the day reached 145.10. The price has rebounded back toward the close from yesterday at 145.54. Of significance is that

The FOREX markets are quiet in the Asia-Pacific session. Japan is on holiday contributing to the lackluster price action. Yesterday’s US CPI data whipped traders around as well as the initial reaction was to the downside in the greenback, and then reversed back to the upside with the rise in US rates However in the

Last week, the NFP missed expectations for a second time in a row and the previous numbers were all revised lower. This was seen as a disappointment as the labour market seems to be a touch weaker than previously expected and we saw a brief rally in Gold. The unemployment rate though, fell once again

The AUDUSD is trading up and down today. The price has moved up more recently extended to a new session high. In the process, the pair is tested the low of a swing area between 0.65586 and 0.65667 on the 4-hour chart below. A move of the swing area would have traders targeting 0.65785 followed

It is Friday, so it is a good time to look back at the price action this week and then look forward to what the price action tells us going forward into the new trading week. Looking at the GBPUSD on the hourly char this week this weekt above, the price today moved to a

EURUSD: The EUSUSD remains above its 50% midpoint of the July trading range. That level comes in at 1.10539. The New York (and London session) held that midpoint level. The Asian session mostly traded below the midpoint level. On the top side, the falling 100-hour moving average comes in at 1.10895. Moving above it would

The following videos will help get you ready for the new trading week. Be sure to like them and share them if you feel worthy. All support is appreciated. If you have any comments also add them to this post or to the videos. Have a safe and great weekend. EURUSD: On Friday, the EURUSD

The NZDUSD has moved lower in trading today. The move comes ahead of the QoQ CPI data that will be announced in the new trading day in New Zealand. The expectations are for a gain of 0.9% versus 1.2% last quarter. Technically, the price moved briefly below it to 100-hour moving average of 0.62668 (green

The AUDUSD is coming off of the boil that saw the price move sharply to the upside over the last few trading days. That move to the upside saw the pair test the 61.8% retracement of the 2023 trading range at 0.68899. The price also moved up to test the high price from June 2023

EURUSD moves above swing area. Stay above is bullish. The EURUSD is trading to a new session high as European traders look to exit for the day. The price has now moved above a swing area between 1.09618 and 1.09759 (see red numbered circles). That swing area has been defined going back to June 16.

The USD started the day as the weakest of the major currencies. That is no longer the case as stronger data has set the yield racing to the upside. The 2 year yield is now up 14 basis points while the 10 year is up 12.6 basis points. The USD is making new highs for

USDJPY tests 100 hour MA. Short term barometer. The USDJPY moved lower today, coming off the boil a bit (see videos here and here).The drift lower started against a channel trend line against swing highs from this week (green numbered circles). The lows have inched below the lower channel trend line but stalled ahead of

The USDCHF has been trading in a fairly narrow trading range over the last 8-9 trading days. The low has come in just above the 0.8900 level at 0.8901. The high price reached 0.90129. So 112 pips have confined the pair. Sitting between those extremes is the near-converged 100 and 200-hour moving averages currently at