Technical Analysis

The group of the Canadian, Australian and New Zealand dollar sits precariously close to the extremes of the recent ranges. There is the potential for double bottoms in all three but the price action today suggests little appetite to buy the trio as recessionary worries spread. Copper prices are the lows of the year, Australian

The strongest to the weakest of the major currencies The  JPY  is the strongest and the NZD is the weakest as the North American session begins, leading to demand for the relative safety of the JPY and the USD and out of the  NZD  and AUD to complete the flow of funds storyline. The rally

NZDUSD trades between the 100/200 hour MAs The  NZDUSD  – like other pairs vs the USD yesterday – saw the pair shoot higher. The move extended above the 100 and 200 hour MAs, and for this pair also extended briefly above the 50% retracement at 0.63857. However, going into the close yesterday, the price rotated

EURUSD trades in the extreme area In The price of the EURUSD extended into the “extreme area”, and outside the older “red box” that confined trading from April 27 to May 23, sans the 2-3 days from the lower extreme (between 1.0348 and 1.04578). The move below 1.04578 took the price down to a swing

Earlier this week it was all about Treasuries. The whims of the bond market were seemingly steering sentiment elsewhere. Today though US 10-year yields are up just 1.6 basis points in a back-and-forth trade but risk aversion is high and worsening. The S&P 500 is down 67 points, breaking below the range of the past

AUDUSD failed on break above 200 day moving average The AUDUSD yesterday first tested – and then broke – above its 100 day moving average at 0.72296 (top blue line on the chart above). The momentum took the price up to the 200 day moving average at 0.72561 (top green line) and ultimately above that

EURUSD bounces ahead of the 38.2% retracement The  EURUSD  move sharply lower on the back of the run into the USD after stronger data today. The price moved down to and through recent swing lows at 1.06787, 1.0661 and the swing area between 1.0633 to 1.0641. What was not reached was the 38.2% of the

The major US  indices  are trading to new session highs. The gains are led by the NASDAQ index which is up by 2.72%. Technically, both the Dow Jones and S&P index have moved above their respective 200 hour moving averages. S&P index is above its 200 hour moving average Looking at the S&P hourly chart

The  NZDUSD  is trading marginally lower ahead of the RBNZ decision that will be announced at 10 PM ET. The expectations are for a 50 basis point hike to 2.00%. The hike will be the 5th in a series of hikes that started on October 6, 2021 with a 0.25% hike to 0.50%. They added

 Crude oil   futures  settle at $113.23. That’s up $1.02 or 0.91%. That is for the June contract which goes off the board today. The July contract meanwhile is closing up $0.39 at $110.28. Norway today announced that April preliminary oil production fell to 1.66 million barrels per day vs. expectations 1.86 million barrels per day.

EURUSD extends to a new high. 100 hour MA looms. The EURUSD is moving higher helped by GBPUSDs run to new highs (now above its 200 hour MA) and overall dollar selling. Yields are lower helping to push the greenback lower. Gold is higher by $14.50 now helping the dollar selling (or is dollar selling

AUDUSD trades to targeted swing area support The AUDUSD tumbled lower today and in the process has moved down toward a key swing area between 0.6809 and 0.6832 (see red numbered circles on the daily chart above). The low for the day reached 0.6824 before bouncing. Risk focused traders have put a toe in the

The US 10 year yield is approaching 2018 peak The US 10 year  yield  is trading just off the high for the day and week at 3.134%. The current yield is at 3.126%. Looking at the weekly chart, the yield is at the highest level since November 2018. The high yield in 2018 reached 3.248%.

NASDAQ index tests its 100 hour moving average The  NASDAQ  index is up 413 points or 3.27% at 12978. Looking at the hourly chart, that takes price above its 100 hour moving average at 12946 for the 1st time since April 5. Stay above that moving average is the best case scenario for the buyers.

NZDUSD is trading below its 50% midpoint The  NZDUSD  is ending the week near the lows for the week/year and lowest level since July 2020. Looking at the daily chart, the pair is also trading just below the 50% currently at 0.64655. Stay below and move lower next week and the pair will start to

USDCAD bases against the 100 day moving average The USDCAD moved higher yesterday and away from it’s 100 day MA. The high yesterday stalled ahead of a lower swing area that is ahead of the extremes from 2021 in 2022. That swing area in the USDCAD comes between 1.27857 and 1.28132. In trading today, the

USD is now the strongest of the major currencies The USD is making a break for it to the upside. In the current hour, the greenback is trading to new highs for the day versus all the major  currencies  with the exception of the JPY. It is now the strongest of the major currencies. The

EURGBP stay below the 100 hour moving average The  EURGBP  moved to the low for the week on Thursday. That took the pair to lowest level since March 7 in the process. After waffling up and down on Friday (Good Friday), the price moved higher in trading today and sniffed the falling 100 hour moving