FX

AUD/USD seeks fresh clues to extend two-day uptrend. Doubts over tapering, cautious sentiment before the key Thursday and trade/political tussles concerning China weigh on the mood. Mixed messages over covid, vaccines trouble traders amid a light calendar. AUD/USD holds onto the previous two days’ gains inside a range surrounding 0.7750 during the early Tuesday morning
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The corrective downside in AUD/USD is seen facing a solid support around 0.7625 in the next weeks. Key Quotes 24-hour view: “The sharp plunge in AUD to an overnight low of 0.7646 came as a surprise. The rapid decline is deeply oversold and while AUD could weaken further, it is unlikely to threaten the next
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One-month risk reversal on USD/CAD, a measure of the spread between call and put prices, turns red for the first time in over a week, not to forget marking the heaviest bearish bias since May 20, according to data source Reuters.  A call option gives the holder the right but not obligation to buy the underlying
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Analysts at HSBC raised their forecasts on the Chinese yuan, as they see the currency strengthening more than expected recently. Key quotes “Q2 6.25 vs. prior forecast at 6.5, Q3 6.45 vs. 6.5 previous. “ “By end-2021, USD/CNY will revert to 6.6.“ “Net FX inflows to China have moderated slightly YTD.” “Expect this narrowing trend
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Lee Sue Ann, Economist at UOB Group, sees the RBA leaving the policy rate unchanged at its meeting on June 1st. Key Quotes “We continue to expect the cash rate to remain unchanged until 2024 and expect a full AUD100bn extension of quantitative easing (QE) beyond the second round”. “That said, we think that Yield
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What you need to know on Monday, May 31: Market players are still willing to sell the greenback on upward moves, suggesting the American currency will remain on the backfoot these days. The greenback keeps moving alongside US government bond yields, which reflect US inflation expectations. Upbeat US data provided temporal support to the USD,
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Previewing next week key data releases from the US, “payrolls probably rose strongly by pre-covid standards but we see some downside risk versus the consensus again this month,” said TD Securities anaysts.  Key quotes “Our forecast implies a still-sizeable 7.7mn net decline from the pre-COVID level. The unemployment rate probably resumed its downtrend after a surprising
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