DXY is being sold off on the shorter-term time frames, 103.13-eyed near-term, 102.39 thereafter. The bias remains bullish on the daily chart until a break of downside structure, or 101.297. Despite the persistent message from Fed members that there is a ”need to raise interest rates ‘a good deal more’ over the coming months,” the US dollar has
FX
US stocks recovered some ground after a bumpy trading week. The Nasdaq Composite rose and led the pack, followed by the S&P 500, while the Dow Jones fell. The US Dollar Index rose, contrarily to US Treasury yields dropping US equities recovered some ground after a rough trading week and recorded gains between 0.13% and
The NZD is nosediving during the week, almost 2.30%. The market sentiment dampened on expectations that the Fed may hike 0.75% in June, increasing investors’ appetite for safe-haven assets, thus boosting the greenback. US Wednesday calendar will be busy reporting Retail Sales and the FOMC’s monetary policy decision. Dismal market mood spurred by fears that the
Next week, the Bank of England will have its monetary policy meeting. Analysts at MUFG Bank consider it poses some upside risk for the pound but they warn any rally should be short-lived in light of the still unfavourable UK cyclical backdrop. Key Quotes: “The GBP has been consolidating at weaker levels after correcting lower
Gold begins the week with losses of close to 0.50%. US Treasury yields and an upbeat sentiment weigh on the yellow metal. Gold Price Forecast (XAU/USD): Neutral biased, though a daily close below the 200-DMA might open the door for additional losses. Gold spot (XAU/USD) is tumbling, weighed by rising US Treasury yields and an
What you need to take care of on Friday, June 3: The greenback changed course on Thursday and gave up all of its Wednesday gains and more. Easing government bond yields and tepid US employment-related figures put pressure on the American currency, later weighed by the positive tone of Wall Street. Concerns related to economic
The shared currency is about to finish the week with 1.66%. US Core PCE rose by 4.9% YoY, lower than March’s 5.1% reading; will the Fed diminish the speed of rate hikes? EUR/USD Price Forecast: Its long-term bias remains bearish, but a rally towards 1.0800 in the near term is on the cards. The EUR/USD
The USD/CAD retreats from weekly highs, extending its losses in the week to 0.18%. Fed minutes confirmed that the June and July meetings would witness a 50 bps rate hike, each. USD/CAD Price Forecast: In the short term is downward biased, and a break below 1.2713 would send the pair towards 1.2630. The USD/CAD pares
GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Will the recovery sustain above 21 DMA? Bulls were finally rescued, as GBP/USD stalled its four-week downtrend and rebounded firmly from two-year lows of 1.2155 reached a week ago. A temporary bottom seemed in place, with the 400+ pips recovery, as the US dollar embarked on an overdue correction. The currency pair
UK CPI Preview: Inflation “apocalypse” priced in, GBP/USD has room to fall Economists expect the headline UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) to have jumped from 7% YoY in March to 9.1% in April. I will argue that this leap is already baked into cable, leading to a ‘buy the rumor sell the fact’ effect, in
Gold’s recovery capped by the $1,820 area, stays under pressure. Improvement in risk sentiment offers limited help to the yellow metal. On a weekly basis, XAU/USD is down almost 4%. Gold bottomed at $1,799 on Friday, the lowest level since February. A recovery followed later that found resistance quickly at $1,820. The yellow metal remains
US dollar losses strength as US yields drop from multi-year highs. DXY hits fresh lows on American hours, backs away from the fresh multi-year high. The USD/JPY rose earlier on Monday to 131.34, reaching the highest level since 2002 and then lost strength. During the American session, it turned to the downside and recently accelerated
The Bank of England hiked rates to 1%, though slashed UK’s economic growth in 2023. The US and UK central bank’s expressed concerns about China’s Covid-19 crisis, which threatens to disrupt supply chains, consequently triggering high inflation. GBP/USD Price Forecast: To fall towards June 2020 swing lows around 1.2251. The British pound plummets on Thursday
The EUR/USD recorded losses in April of 4.75%, the biggest since 2015. Though Wall Street finished with substantial losses, a sudden shift in sentiment failed to boost the greenback vs. the euro. US Core PCE down ticked, but headline inflation rose to 6.6%, as the FOMC will hold its May monetary policy meeting The EUR/USD
XAG/USD continues to trade with a downside bias and hit more than two-month lows in the $23.20s on Wednesday. The buck continues to advance, weighing on the pair, amid risk-off flows, geopolitical jitters and Fed tightening bets. Continued buck buoyancy against the backdrop of still very jittery global market risk appetite (US stocks have pared
Cleveland Fed President and FOMC member Lorreta Mester, speaking in an interview on CNBC, said on Friday that the Fed wants to see tighter financial conditions, though not all at once. “We are in a recalibration phase for monetary policy,” she said, adding that the Fed’s goal is to bring inflation under control, but also
Russia is carrying out the “prelude” to a larger expected offensive operations in eastern Ukraine, a senior US defense official said on Monday according to Reuters. About seven flights of weapons are heading to Europe in the next 24 hours carrying weaponry for Ukraine, the official added. Russian has about 75% of its pre-invasion combat
The GBP/USD is gaining up some 0.18% in the week amidst a thin liquidity trading session. A buoyant US dollar and risk-aversion weighed on the British pound in the week. GBP/USD Price Forecast: To remain downward biased but a double bottom looms. The British pound remains defensive, trading below the 1.3100 mark, on the back
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